I’ve decided that weathermen aren’t as wrong as we’d like to think they are. The problem is that the forecast is never what we want it to be, and somebody has to bear the brunt of our frustration. Jim Duncan is high on my list right now.

You see, I’ve been waiting for a midweek home game for James Madison. My plan is perfect–ski all day at Massanutten, grab some food and catch the Dukes at night. The only possible flaw is Duncan telling me it’s going to be a beautiful winter day with temperatures soaring towards 60 degrees.

Now, I’m a warm weather, chase as many pars as possible kind of guy. But when I want to ski, I want to ski. Not happening, so I will take in the Dukes/William & Mary game from home. (Gheorghe–I care. Eight points is a big number.)

As for the game, even though our friends at G: TB are picking on their squad’s offensive ineptitude, their Ken Pomeroy numbers in conference are better than JMU. And Devon Moore is still at least in pain with that sprained wrist.

The Tribe has won 19 of the last 28 games in the series, including a 68-61 decision earlier this year. (Thanks, Bill.) William & Mary also shoots free throws at a first place 75% clip, while JMU allows its opponents to get to teh foul line more than any other CAA team (46.4% free throw rate). Keep an eye there.

The Dukes have a fire-at-will mentality from beyond the arc, and anytime a walk-on is in your rotation because of attrition, that isn’t a good sign–especially playing your third game in five days. JMU is probably running on fumes, short-handed, trying to hoist threes.

It’s a “feel” thing, and William & Mary’s is better. Finally, I’ve been waiting for three months to write this: #Beasthoven should dominate under the basket.

Tribe 65, Dukes 62.